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Thursday, 17 July 2025

India Minus Politics: Farmers’ Suicides the ‘Catastrophe’.

India Minus Politics:

 Farmers’ Suicides the ‘Catastrophe.

Farmers’ suicides in India – the tragic deaths of cultivators and agricultural labourers by suicide – have been a persistent issue since the 1970s. As a primarily agrarian country (about 70% of rural households depend on farming), India saw agriculture contribute roughly 15% of GDP in 2023, with nearly half the workforce tied to farming. Yet many smallholders face mounting debts, crop failures and volatile markets. In recent decades official data show large numbers of “farm-sector” suicides – a label covering both farmers (cultivators) and landless farm labourers. For example, National Crime Records Bureau (NCRB) data report 11,290 suicides in the farming sector in 2022 (5,207 farmers and 6,083 labourers), about 6–8% of all suicides in India. Scholars note that farmers’ suicides have complex causes (debt, crop loss, droughts, falling incomes, etc.), and most victims have multiple stressors. This article surveys the data and facts (avoiding partisan rhetoric) and also considers, speculatively, how the issue might look from an apolitical viewpoint.


National Trends and Data

NCRB began separately tracking farmers’ suicides from 1995. Official figures (as compiled by researchers and journalists) show hundreds of thousands of deaths over the past few decades. One journalistic analysis (using NCRB reports from 1995–2013) found about 296,438 Indian farmers took their lives in that period. Similarly, a study of 1995–2014 NCRB data reported 296,438 suicides. After dipping to about 5,650 reported cases in 2014, the annual numbers have climbed again. For example, the widely cited climate study by Carleton (2017) noted 12,602 farm-sector suicides in 2015 and over 300,000 since 1995. By 2018–2022, NCRB data show a steady rise to record levels: about 10,349 in 2018, 10,281 in 2019, 10,677 in 2020, 10,881 in 2021, and 11,290 in 2022. These trends are summarized below (from NCRB reports):

Year

Farmer suicides

Agri labourer suicides

Total (farming sector)

2018

5,763

4,586

10,349

2019

5,957

4,324

10,281

2020

5,579

5,098

10,677

2021

5,318

5,563

10,881

2022

5,207

6,083

11,290


These NCRB figures indicate that suicides in farming rose about 3.8% from 2021 to 2022 (up from 10,881 to 11,290), and about 10% since 2018. Analysts note the 2019–2022 upturn was driven especially by agricultural labourers (who now outnumber “farmers” among victims), as shown above. Overall, farming-sector suicides are roughly 7–8% of India’s total suicide count.

Historically, the highest peak was in 2004 – about 18,241 farmer suicides were reported nationwide (nearly twice the current level). After 2004 the numbers trended downward for a decade, reaching a low (~5,650 in 2014), then rebounding. NCRB annual reports and media analyses document this boom-bust pattern. (Some researchers caution that states sometimes under-report suicide data; eg. Chhattisgarh and West Bengal reported “zero” cases in recent years despite prior high counts.)

Despite fluctuations, the cumulative toll is enormous. By 2013, an NCRB tally put total farmers’ suicides since 1995 at 296,438. By adding more recent annual data, one can estimate the total has now exceeded 390,000 (almost 40,000 more since 2014). These deaths translate into about 50–60 farmer suicides per day during peak years.


Demographics and Regional Patterns

Data reveal stark gender and state-by-state differences. The vast majority of victims are male. For instance, in 2022 men accounted for 10,471 of the 11,290 farming-sector suicides (93%) (5,472 of 6,083 labourers and 4,999 of 5,207 farmers were male). Female suicides are far fewer (819 total in 2022). This likely reflects that most small and marginal farmers – and farmhands – are men who carry the financial burden of supporting their families.

Regionally, the crisis is concentrated. Maharashtra consistently reports the largest number: in 2022 it accounted for 4,248 cases (38% of all farm-sector suicides). Other high-burden states in 2022 were Karnataka (2,392), Andhra Pradesh (917), Tamil Nadu (728) and Madhya Pradesh (641). Together those five states made up roughly 80–85% of the national total. In Maharashtra’s worst year (2013), data show an average of 10 farmers per day dying by suicide.

Some traditionally high-agricultural states (like Uttar Pradesh) had lower absolute numbers but can show sharp year-to-year changes. For example, Uttar Pradesh saw a 42% jump in farming suicides in 2022 compared to 2021. By contrast, states like Chhattisgarh and Kerala actually reported declines or zero deaths in recent NCRB tables (though some analysts suspect reporting gaps).


Underlying Causes and Context

Why do so many farmers take their lives? Research emphasizes that socioeconomic stress is the primary driver, much more than individual mental illness alone. A 2017 review in the Indian Journal of Psychiatry notes that in the 2014 NCRB report, 75% of victims were “small and marginal” farmers (holding ≤2 hectares). These families face severe hardship. Over 80% of Indian farms are under two hectares, leaving little scale advantage. Farmers depend on erratic monsoon rains and often endure droughts or floods. Crop failures – whether from drought, heatwaves or pests – can wipe out an entire season’s income. Global price swings and market bottlenecks (often due to middlemen and infrastructure issues) can further push farmers below cost of production.

Debt is a central factor. Many small farmers take high-interest loans from informal moneylenders when crops fail or inputs cost more than expected. Interest rates can reach 30–60% for non-institutional loans. Meanwhile government support (like Minimum Support Prices) often does not fully cover costs. Under this pressure, farmers easily fall into a spiraling debt trap. If crop loss coincides with a need to pay loans or family expenses (marriages, education, healthcare), the strain becomes overwhelming.

Climate and environmental factors exacerbate the crisis. Studies find that hotter summers and droughts have already raised suicide rates: a Berkeley study estimated nearly 60,000 suicides from 1980–2010 were attributable to higher temperatures. In 2022, many regions faced severe drought, erratic rain and a heatwave that harmed harvests, as reported by NPRI and the Indian Council of Agricultural Research. Unusual weather means perennial crops (like cotton and wheat) suffered; fodder shortages raised livestock losses. Each bad year of weather piles onto debt from previous years.

It is important to note that these factors often overlap and compound: a marginal farmer growing expensive cash crops (like cotton or coffee) who loses a harvest may simultaneously suffer high loan interest, low market prices, and little savings to fall back on. In fact, research suggests that more than 70% of farmers’ suicide victims farm cash crops, which have volatile returns. Surveys of victims’ families routinely list multiple reasons – crop failure, loan pressure, deteriorating finances, plus social factors (like debt-related shame or family conflict).


The Human Toll

By any measure, the sheer number of fatalities signals a deep social problem. In practical terms, each suicide represents a rural household losing its main breadwinner, leaving families destitute or dependent on government aid. Activists often call the epidemic “an agrarian crisis”. Even at 7–8% of total national suicides, the figures imply that more Indian farmers die by suicide every year than the total suicide count of many smaller countries. In 2022 alone, over 11,000 farm-sector suicides occurred – roughly one every 45 minutes.

The age profile of victims skew younger. Studies (e.g. Srinivasan et al.) find average ages in the 30s or early 40s for farmer suicide victims. Most were family men responsible for debt repayment. Data from media reports suggest farmers and labourers dying by suicide are overwhelmingly male and often low-income, without easy access to formal credit or social support.

Importantly, academic reviews (e.g.) highlight that mental illness alone is not the proximate cause in most cases. Rather, extreme economic despair and systemic hardships are the triggers. (Indeed, until recently suicide was criminalized in India, so stigma likely led to under-reporting of mental illness.) Thus solutions are typically framed in socioeconomic terms.


Policy Responses (Brief)

Over the years, governments have tried various measures to alleviate farmer distress. Short-term relief schemes (loan waivers, crop insurance, compensation payouts) have been introduced in different states and nationally. For example, after 2015 the Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana (PMFBY) was launched to insure crops; some state governments declared debt moratoria on small loans. However, many experts argue these measures are often reactive and insufficient. The Indian J. Psychiatry review notes that past waivers and subsidies have frequently failed due to poor implementation, and sometimes even created adverse incentives.

Despite such efforts, the overall trend did not reverse until recently. (In fact, from 2015–2019 suicide counts continued to creep up.) The complexity of the problem means there is no simple fix. Most analysts agree that without addressing fundamental causes, any decline is fragile.


If Politics Were Absent: A Neutral Perspective

Discussion of farmers’ suicides in India often becomes mired in political debate (with parties and interest groups promoting different narratives). “India minus politics” suggests taking an objective, evidence-based view of the problem. In a purely technocratic scenario, one would focus squarely on the structural issues affecting farmers, without partisan framing. What might that look like?

  • Root-cause emphasis. Without political influence, experts would likely focus on economic factors above all. As one review notes, 75% of victims are smallholders under heavy debt. An apolitical approach would prioritize breaking the debt cycle: ensuring affordable credit and reducing dependency on exploitative moneylenders. For instance, the Psychiatry review recommends making farm loans available at very low interest rates and reforming harsh recovery practices.

  • Agricultural reforms. Policies might stress productivity and risk reduction. This could include encouraging cooperatives or pooled farming to achieve economies of scale, and widespread adoption of mechanization and modern techniques (through farmer education programs). Likewise, irrigation systems and water-harvesting projects would be strengthened to protect crops from drought. Crucially, a truly neutral stance would adjust minimum support prices (MSP) to reflect real production costs, ensuring farmers earn a fair income even in bad years.

  • Data-driven monitoring. An apolitical strategy might also invest more in transparent data collection. The observed discrepancies (some states inexplicably reporting zero cases) suggest that a non-partisan system of recording and investigating each farm death could be instituted. (If politics had no influence, there would be no incentive to massage figures.) Reliable statistics would help target interventions where they are most needed.

  • Targeted support for the most vulnerable. The evidence shows marginal cultivators and landless labourers suffer disproportionately. A depoliticized approach would channel resources specifically to this group: for example, expanding social safety nets, providing mental health counselling locally (to destigmatize seeking help), and promoting rural livelihood diversification (livestock, poultry, etc.) as advised by experts.

  • Climate adaptation. Given climate links to suicide spikes, an apolitical program would stress climate-resilient farming – drought-resistant seeds, better rainfall forecasts, and fast-response relief after natural disasters. The goal would be to insulate farmers from unpredictable losses that, combined with debts, precipitate crises.

In short, without political distractions, policy would likely center on long-term structural fixes: better credit and pricing, infrastructure (water, storage, transport), and farmer education and insurance. These solutions echo expert recommendations (see bullets above). Conversely, populist shortcuts like loan amnesties or brief cash subsidies (often touted around election time) would be less emphasized, since the focus would be on sustainable prosperity rather than immediate optics.

Of course, politics in reality affects budgets and priorities. But envisioning a purely technical approach highlights that many proposed remedies exist in academic and policy literature – if only they could be fully implemented without compromise. Farmers on the ground often say simply: they need agriculture to be profitable and predictable. From a non-partisan angle, that means “grow our incomes and reduce our risks.”

Summary

Farmers’ suicides in India are a deeply complex social and economic problem. Official data show tens of thousands of such deaths every year, concentrated among small-scale cultivators and landless labourers in a few states. The main drivers are well-documented: indebtedness, crop failure and low incomes, worsened by extreme weather and market fluctuations. While the issue is often discussed in political terms, an objective review of the evidence (as done above) underlines that no single faction holds the answer. If one puts aside political agendas, the emphasis falls on pragmatic measures – affordable loans, risk-sharing (insurance, irrigation, storage), fair pricing, and rural development – that experts across the spectrum agree are needed.

Ultimately, reducing the toll of farm suicides will require sustained commitment to rural welfare, grounded in facts and empathy. Only by understanding the human struggles through clear data and effective policies – rather than through partisan noise – can the cycle of despair be broken.

Sources: Official NCRB data and government reports (as reported in The Indian Express, Down To Earth, The Guardian, etc.) and peer-reviewed analyses..


Wednesday, 2 July 2025

Skills and Education in India

Skills and Education in India: Trends, Global Context, and Student Guidance

India’s education landscape is vast and evolving. According to official data, India’s school system enrolled about 24.8 crore (248 million) students in 2023–24, spread across 14.72 lakh schools with ~98 lakh teachers. This represents a drop of over 1 crore (10 million) from about 26 crore students in 2019–20. Government schools still form ~69% of schools (enrolling half the students), while private schools account for ~22.5% of schools (32.6% of students). Dropout rates have fallen in recent years – now ~1.9% at primary level and ~5.2% at upper primary – but retention remains a challenge (only ~85% of children who start Grade 1 reach Grade 5). In higher education, India now has one of the world’s largest systems (4.33 crore students in 2021–22), up 26.5% since 2014–15. The Gross Enrolment Ratio (age 18–23) rose from ~24% (2014–15) to ~28% (2021–22), with a government goal of 50% by 2035.

Key statistics highlight the gains and gaps: literacy has risen from 73% in 2011 to 77.7% in 2022 (84.7% for men vs. 70.3% for women). Yet India’s overall literacy still trails the global average (~86–87%). Surveys find that many students lack basic reading/math proficiency – e.g. about 25% of rural 14–18-year-olds still cannot fluently read a second-grade level text. This underscores the need to strengthen foundational skills early. Government funding for education has been substantial: India spent roughly 4.1–4.6% of GDP on education (2015–24) and about 15–17% of public spending. In Asia, only a few countries (e.g. Bhutan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan) now outspend India as a GDP share, while India’s investment exceeds that of large neighbors like China and Japan.

 

Global Comparisons

In a global context, India’s education metrics are mixed. For example, UNESCO reports global adult literacy at ~87%, with some high-income regions near **99%**, highlighting how India’s 77.7% literacy leaves room for improvement. Female literacy in India (70.3%) is well below the global female average (79%), reflecting gender gaps seen in many societies. On spending, India’s ~4.2% of GDP (2022) is higher than China’s and Japan’s shares and within UNESCO’s recommended range (4–6% of GDP). However, several smaller Asian nations surpass India (e.g. Bhutan 7.5%, Kazakhstan 7.2%). In higher education, India’s sheer scale (4.33 crore students) ranks it among the largest globally, even as its Gross Enrolment Ratio (28%) remains below peers like Malaysia or South Korea. These comparisons suggest India has made significant gains but still lags best-in-class in literacy and retention.

 

Preparing for the Future: Digital Skills and Lifelong Learning

UNESCO emphasizes that digital and tech skills are now a cornerstone of modern education. Entry-level digital literacy (using devices and the Internet) has become as fundamental as reading and writing, and advanced competencies in AI, data analytics, and computing are driving high-paying job growth. These digital capabilities must be paired with strong critical thinking, collaboration and basic academic skills. World Economic Forum studies similarly highlight that analytical reasoning, adaptability, and creativity top employers’ “core skills” list, while technology skills (AI, cyber, coding) and lifelong learning are the fastest-growing proficiencies. In short, today’s students need both foundational know-how (literacy, numeracy, problem-solving) and digital fluency to thrive.


Suggestions for Students: Key steps to boost skills and opportunities include:

·        Strengthen the Basics. Achieve strong proficiency in reading, writing, arithmetic and languages. For instance, ASER 2023 found about 25% of rural teens struggle with basic reading. Students should seek extra practice or tutoring in early grades to build a solid foundation before moving to higher concepts. Achieving mastery of foundational skills makes all later learning easier.

·        Embrace STEM and Technical Learning. Pursue science, math, engineering and tech subjects, as well as vocational training. Industry 4.0 trends mean skills in coding, data analysis, and emerging fields (AI/robotics) are increasingly in demand. Take advantage of school labs, online courses, coding camps or robotics clubs to gain hands-on experience. Governments and industry report many tech jobs remain unfilled due to skill shortages – building these competencies now can open future careers.

·        Develop Soft Skills. Cultivate communication, teamwork, problem-solving and adaptability. Educational reports stress that beyond technical know-how, employers value flexibility, leadership and interpersonal skills. Participating in group projects, debates, or extracurricular activities can enhance these qualities. Likewise, learning English or other global languages can expand study and work prospects.

·        Pursue Lifelong Learning. The pace of change means formal school is just the start. Commit to continuous self-improvement through extracurricular courses, certifications, and reading. WEF data show that “lifelong learning” and curiosity itself are emerging as key skills. Use free online platforms (e.g. MOOCs, educational apps) and take internships or apprenticeships when possible. Cultivating a habit of upskilling – especially in digital domains – will increase adaptability and job readiness.

·        Leverage Technology Wisely. Make full use of digital tools now. UNESCO notes that having internet access and basic ICT skills dramatically improves employment chances. Use educational videos, coding apps, simulations and e-books to supplement classroom learning. However, balance screen time with offline study and practice. Bridge any “digital divide” by seeking community resources (school computer labs, library Wi-Fi) so you aren’t left behind in an increasingly online world.

Overall, India’s education system has grown enormously, but challenges remain in quality and equity. By understanding current trends and focusing on the right skills, students can position themselves to succeed. The government’s National Education Policy 2020, for example, calls for 100% school enrolment up to Grade 12 by 2030, signaling a national commitment to universal learning. Students who build strong fundamentals, stay technologically savvy, and keep learning throughout their lives will be best placed to seize these expanding opportunities.

Sources: Government and international reports on Indian education and skills provided the statistics and guidance above.

 

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